Tracking the Online Spread of Misinformation after Disaster Events
Directed Research Group, UW HCDE
Jan. 2015 - Jun. 2015
Research Goal:
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Analyze quantitative/qualitative data on tweets during disaster events to track misinformation
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Study and understand the collective sense making process in the propagation of misinformation
My Contribution:
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Disaster Event Identification
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Rumor Identification and Scope Definition
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Data Analysis - Qualitative Data Analysis
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Data Analysis - Quantitative Data Visualization and Analysis
Iterative Process
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Disaster Event Collection
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Rumor Identification
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Tweet Categorization
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Data Analysis
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Automated Rumor Detection
Publication:
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Starbird, K., Spiro, E., Arif, A., Chou, F., Narisimhan, S., Maddock, J., Shanahan, K. & Robinson, J.(2015). Expressed Uncertainty and Denials as Signals of Online Rumoring. Collective Intelligence.
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Arif, A., Shanahan, K., Chou, F. J., Dosouto, Y., Starbird, K., & Spiro, E. S. How Information Snowballs: Exploring the Role of Exposure in Online Rumor Propagation. ACM 2016 Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work

1. Disaster Event Collection
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Keep track of latest news or trending events on Social Media
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Identify disaster event and the keywords related to the event
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Collect real-time tweets during the event and Store them in to Mongo DB
2. Rumor Identification
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Identify rumors during an event
- using visual pattern analysis with examination of external sources -
Develop the definition, scope and search string for the rumors
- using an iterative process to refine search strings
3. Tweet Categorization
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Code the tweets in a certain rumor as affirming the rumor, denying the rumor, or showing uncertainty about the rumor.
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Three trained coders code all the tweets and use "Majority Rule" for adjudication. (i.e. if more than two out of three coders coded a tweet as "affirming the rumor", then we categorized this tweet as "affirm".)
4. Data Analysis
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Analyze the quantitative and qualitative attributes of the tweets and look for trends and insights in collective sense making process on social media
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Visualize information to help identify obscure trends
5. Automated Rumor Detection
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Use the information from data analysis to inform automated methods of detecting rumors on social media platforms during crisis events.


